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BUSINESS · SEP 26, 2025

Barclays Strategists Report Unexpected Resilience of U.S. Dollar

Barclays currency strategists report that the U.S. dollar has remained stable despite weak economic data and challenges to Federal Reserve credibility.

Currency strategists at Barclays report that the U.S. dollar has remained resilient and traded within a tight range over the past several months. This stability persists despite a series of developments the firm characterizes as "extraordinarily bearish events."

The analysis notes that while the currency experienced significant volatility and weakness between February and May, it has failed to weaken meaningfully since that period. The dollar has maintained its position even as weaker economic data emerged and the credibility of the Federal Reserve System faced challenges.

The report suggests a disconnect between fundamental economic indicators and currency performance. By resisting downward pressure from bearish catalysts, the dollar has defied expectations of a more significant decline in value.


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