Tsinghua University Report Identifies Ten Major Risks to China

The International Security and Strategy Center (ISSC) at Tsinghua University released a report on June 18 identifying ten primary threats to the stability of the Chinese Communist Party. The center cited cross-strait relations with Taiwan as the most significant risk, followed by deteriorating ties with Japan and technological decoupling from the United States.

Other external dangers include escalating tensions in the South China Sea, global financial instability, and the potential resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The report specifically warns of AI-driven cyberattacks and instability impacting Belt and Road Initiative investments in Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Nepal, alongside a possible North Korean nuclear crisis.

Internally, the report highlights systemic corruption as a major burden, noting that over 1 million cases were launched in 2025, resulting in an estimated annual cost of $86 billion. The assessment concludes that the ruling party faces a complex environment of structural confrontations and unpredictable foreign leadership.