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BUSINESS · OCT 4, 2026

Philippine Inflation Hits Four-Month High Amid Fuel and Food Surges

Economists predict Philippine inflation rose to 6.7% in September due to surging oil prices, weather-related food shortages, and a weakening peso.

Economists forecast that inflation in the Philippines reached a four-month high of 6.7% in September, rising from 6.1% in August. This acceleration stems from a combination of surging global oil prices, which pushed domestic pump prices above P100 per liter, and a record low for the Philippine peso against the US dollar that increased import costs.

Supply disruptions further drove prices upward. Tropical Storm Pilandok and Typhoon Queenie, alongside El Niño effects in exporting nations, increased the cost of vegetables and rice. While Meralco reduced electricity rates for a second consecutive month and meat prices declined, these offsets were insufficient to curb the overall trend.

In response to rising costs, the Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board approved public utility vehicle fare hikes that took effect on September 28. Analysts suggest these economic pressures strengthen the case for the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to implement a 25-basis-point interest rate hike during its October 22 meeting to anchor inflation expectations. The Philippine Statistics Authority is scheduled to release the official September inflation report on October 6.


Reported across 3 outlets
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Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasPhilippine Statistics AuthorityLand Transportation Franchising and Regulatory BoardMeralco

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