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BUSINESS · DEC 2, 2025

OpenAI Valuation Faces Pressure From Gemini 3 Competition

OpenAI faces downward pressure on its $500 billion valuation as Alphabet's Gemini 3 gains market share and profitability concerns grow.

The $500 billion valuation of OpenAI is facing downward pressure driven by financial concerns and intensifying market competition. Despite its dominant position in the AI chatbot sector, the company has received tepid reviews for its GPT-5 release, while data indicates that downloads for Alphabet Inc.'s Gemini 3 are beginning to catch up to ChatGPT.

Investors are increasingly concerned about the company's long-term financial viability, noting that OpenAI may not reach profitability until 2030. There are further fears that the company will require hundreds of billions of dollars in additional funding to cover operational losses and significant data center investments. These factors have fueled expectations of a down round, in which new investors would reduce the company's valuation.

To address these challenges, CEO Sam Altman urged employees to remain focused, stating that he expects the "vibes out there to be rough for a bit" due to short-term competitive pressure.


Reported across 2 outlets
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OpenAISam AltmanAlphabet Inc.

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