Ruto and Sifuna Tie for 2027 Kenyan Presidential Preference

President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna are tied as the most preferred candidates for the 2027 Kenyan presidential election. A poll released Thursday by Trends Insight for Africa (TIFA) shows both figures holding 31 percent support among respondents.

Sifuna saw a rapid increase in popularity, rising from no recorded support between August 2022 and November 2025 to his current 31 percent. Ruto experienced a more gradual climb, increasing from 24 percent in June 2026 to 31 percent in November.

Other political figures saw their support erode. Former Vice-President Kalonzo Musyoka fell to 9 percent, while former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i dropped to 5 percent. Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua recorded the lowest support among prominent candidates at 4 percent.

The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, and included 2,036 respondents across nine regions with a margin of error of +/- 2.16 percent.