ANZ Forecasts Aggressive Bank of Japan Interest Rate Hikes
ANZ analyst Zaman predicts the Bank of Japan will aggressively raise interest rates starting in September to support the yen.
An analyst from ANZ predicts the Bank of Japan will begin aggressively raising interest rates in September, forecasting a total of three rate hikes. This policy shift is expected to provide relative support to the yen, which has faced volatility against the U.S. dollar.
Zaman reports that the United States has coordinated with Japan and is comfortable with a stronger yen and a slightly lower dollar. This alignment comes as a broader medium-term trend suggests a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by slowing economic momentum in the United States relative to other global economies and uncertainty surrounding upcoming mid-term elections.
Additionally, global bond curves are showing increased correlation. Higher U.S. yields are trickling down to increase yields for ten-year Japanese Government Bonds and Australia's ten-year notes.