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BUSINESS · JUL 23, 2026

North Dakota Oil Production Dips as US-Iran War Spikes Prices

North Dakota reports May oil production slightly below forecasts while geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran drives crude prices above $100 per barrel.

North Dakota oil production reached 34.87 million barrels in May, averaging 1.12 million barrels per day. This figure fell slightly below the state's revenue forecast. Despite the production dip, market prices surged to $100.64 per barrel, significantly exceeding expectations.

Nathan Anderson, Director of the North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources, attributes this price volatility to an ongoing "hot war" between the United States and Iran. Anderson noted that while a mid-June memorandum of understanding briefly lowered West Texas Intermediate crude prices, the resumption of attacks quickly drove costs back up. The conflict has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and caused significant drawdowns in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which reached its lowest inventory level since 1983 in mid-July.

Officials from the North Dakota Pipeline Authority expect August data from the Energy Information Administration to reflect the deteriorating diplomatic situation. Executive Director Justin Kringstad noted the difficulty of forecasting prices amidst the current instability.


Reported across 5 outlets
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Nathan AndersonEnergy Information Administration

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