U.S. Shoulder Season Travel Discounts Largely Disappear

The traditional shoulder season for travel is experiencing a significant decline in cost savings. Data from Hopper and Expedia indicate that domestic U.S. travel discounts have largely vanished, with fall prices for flights and lodging now frequently exceeding summer rates. International savings are also eroding, specifically for travel to Europe, Asia, and Oceania.

Several factors are driving this shift in demand. The rise of remote work and increased price transparency through search engines have made off-peak travel more accessible. Additionally, climate change has pushed travelers away from record-breaking summer heat and wildfires toward the fall.

Supply-side pressures have further increased costs. The closure of Spirit Airlines in May reduced the availability of budget fares, while rising jet fuel costs linked to the war in Iran have increased overall expenses. While September has become a high-demand period, some travel advisors suggest that true value has shifted later into October and November.