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BUSINESS · FEB 12, 2026

US Home Heating Costs Projected to Rise 11 Percent

The National Energy Assistance Directors Association projects an 11 percent increase in winter home heating costs, raising concerns over widespread utility disconnections.

The National Energy Assistance Directors Association revised its winter home heating cost forecast upward to 11 percent for the November to March season, increasing the initial projection of 9.2 percent. The association attributes the rise to sustained frigid temperatures and rapidly climbing energy prices. Electricity costs are expected to increase 14 percent to $1,242, while natural gas costs are projected to rise 9.5 percent to $712.

Driven by surging electricity demand from data centers and increased natural gas exports, utility companies are investing billions in aging infrastructure. These economic pressures contributed to a rise in household utility debt, which reached approximately $25 billion by the end of last year.

Executive Director Mark Wolfe warned that the rising costs have made energy a central part of the affordability discussion. He noted that as winter shutoff moratoriums expire at the end of March, many households will face a significant risk of disconnection.


Reported across 5 outlets
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National Energy Assistance Directors AssociationMark Wolfe

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