Sudan Civil War Drives Country Toward Systemic Collapse

The United Nations Development Programme and the Institute for Security Studies report that Sudan's civil war is driving the nation toward systemic collapse. Since the conflict began in April 2023, more than 150,000 people have been killed and nearly 15 million displaced. The crisis has left 25 million people facing food insecurity and 19 million without access to safe water.

Economic data indicates the war caused an estimated US$6.4 billion loss in 2023, pushing seven million additional people into extreme poverty. Projections suggest that if the fighting persists until 2030, GDP losses could reach an additional US$34.5 billion by 2043, further entrenching the humanitarian emergency.

Diplomatic initiatives have so far failed to secure peace. Efforts led by the Jeddah framework, the Quad — consisting of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates — and the African Union-led Quintet have been stalled by fragmented external interests and deep ideological divisions among Sudanese factions.