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POLITICS · AUG 20, 2026

Cook Political Report Labels Texas and Iowa Senate Races Tossups

The Cook Political Report reclassified Senate races in Texas and Iowa as tossups, citing candidate vulnerabilities and economic pressures in the agriculture sector.

The Cook Political Report designated Senate races in Texas and Iowa as tossups on Thursday, signaling a shift in the competitive landscape for the upcoming election. In Texas, Attorney General Ken Paxton faces Democratic challenger James Talarico. Paxton's candidacy is complicated by high disapproval ratings among Republicans following a previous impeachment for misusing government funds, despite his acquittal by the Texas Senate.

In Iowa, Democratic candidate Josh Turek is viewed as a potential swing factor. Turek's viability is linked to economic pressures facing the state's agriculture sector, specifically rising diesel and fertilizer prices and the impact of tariffs.

Jessica Taylor, the Senate and governors editor at the Cook Political Report, stated that Republicans still retain a structural advantage due to the partisan map. However, she noted that in a wave election similar to 2006, states previously won by Donald Trump by double digits could move within reach for Democrats.


Reported across 14 outlets
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Ken PaxtonJames TalaricoJoshua Turek

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