Calgary Business Leaders Warn Separation Would Trigger Mass Relocation
Calgary Chamber of Commerce members report that nearly half would relocate their businesses if Alberta separates from Canada, citing devastating economic uncertainty.
A series of surveys from business organizations indicate that the prospect of Alberta separating from Canada is destabilizing the provincial economy. Deborah Yedlin, CEO of the Calgary Chamber of Commerce, reported that 48% of members would consider relocating their businesses if a vote to begin a binding separation process succeeds. Additionally, 80% of local respondents believe the separatism discourse is already negatively impacting the economy.
Parallel findings from the Alberta Chambers of Commerce show that 68% of business respondents believe the separation debate affects the economy, with 90% of those characterizing the impact as negative. CEO Shauna Feth noted that this uncertainty is currently constraining decisions regarding capital deployment and hiring. Economic projections from the University of Calgary suggest separation could cause a 6% drop in GDP per capita and the loss of 175,000 jobs.
These warnings precede an October referendum that could initiate the legal process for a future binding vote. While separatist leaders estimate startup costs at $5.7 billion, Premier Danielle Smith estimates transitional costs could reach $400 billion. Some leaders, including ATCO CEO Nancy Southern, suggest that a November energy memorandum of understanding between the province and Ottawa may help reduce separatist sentiment by mending the federal-provincial relationship.