US Treasury Yields Rise as Tech Stocks Rebound
US Treasury yields climbed Monday as a recovery in technology shares reduced safe-haven demand, despite conflicting inflation data and falling oil prices.
US Treasury yields fluctuated on Monday, ultimately trending upward as a rebound in technology shares reduced investor demand for safe-haven assets. The 10-year yield rose to 5.14%, a shift driven by a 1.2% climb in the Nasdaq 100 Index and a reversal of the recent flight to quality trend seen during previous equity sell-offs.
The Federal Reserve System remains the central focus for investors ahead of its October 28 policy meeting. While early Monday data showed a high probability that the committee would maintain current borrowing costs, later trading saw expectations for a rate hike shift, with some traders pricing in a quarter-point increase for December and a 20% probability of a hike in October.
Market volatility was further influenced by mixed economic indicators. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 6.3% annual rise in wholesale prices and a 3.7% increase in consumer costs for September. Meanwhile, the National Association of Home Builders reported its Housing Market index fell to 29, the lowest level since June 2012. Treasury prices also faced pressure from new corporate bond offerings by Walmart Inc. and Kimberly-Clark Corp.
Global factors added to the instability. While oil prices initially fell on hopes of increased Russian supply, West Texas Intermediate later reached its highest closing level in a month. In France, 10-year yields hit their highest level since 2002 following cost-of-living riots and a potential credit downgrade by Moody's Ratings.