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Jamieson Greer
PERSON · WORLD

Jamieson Greer

USTR racing to install replacement tariffs

Running Section 301 probes covering ~99% of U.S. imports atop existing deal caps, with a July 24 expiration deadline for Section 122 duties looming. Just led delegation to New Delhi to finalize India interim deal; navigating CUSMA review, EU Turnberry implementation, Brazil tariffs, Vietnam IP probe, and China Board of Trade simultaneously.


Where they stand

Jamieson Greer is operating on more simultaneous trade fronts than any U.S. Trade Representative in recent memory, and nearly all of them converge on a single date: July 24, when the temporary 10% global tariffs expire unless Congress extends them. After federal courts struck down the IEEPA reciprocal tariffs in February and the Section 122 across-the-board duties in May, Greer built a replacement Section 301 architecture covering more than 99% of U.S. imports, opening probes into 16 trading partners over excess manufacturing capacity and 60 economies over forced labor. He warned that suspending the duties mid-process could mean negotiations "may never resume."

Greer just returned from New Delhi, where he led a U.S. delegation June 22 to 25 for talks with Indian Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal and Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. He characterized the relationship as going "to a higher and higher level with every passing week." Goyal demanded that India retain a competitive tariff advantage over China and Vietnam before implementing the interim deal. Indian opposition leader Jairam Ramesh urged Modi to reject the agreement as "a steal," citing a February Supreme Court ruling that struck down Trump's reciprocal tariffs. Goyal expects the first tranche by mid-July.

The USMCA review begins July 1. Greer proposed raising North American auto content to 82% and pushing for 50% U.S. vehicle content. He called Canada "difficult," said Mexico's talks are progressing faster, and signaled openness to replacing the trilateral pact with bilateral agreements. Trump separately threatened to terminate the deal, saying "we do better without that agreement." Canada's LeBlanc and Mexico's Ebrard formally requested a 16-year extension; Greer indicated negotiations will continue past the July 1 deadline.

With the EU, Greer told Commissioner Šefčovič at the Paris OECD ministerial that "a deal is a deal," confirming the U.S. will honor the Turnberry framework's 15% tariff caps while layering forced-labor duties on top. The EU Council gave final approval to the deal on June 25, meeting Trump's July 4 deadline. Greer disclosed a second Section 301 probe into EU excess manufacturing capacity nearing completion. Trump separately threatened 25% EU auto tariffs if the deal was not ratified by July 4.

Greer also opened a Section 301 probe into Germany's pharmaceutical pricing on June 18, arguing Berlin underpays for innovative drugs and shifts R&D costs onto American patients. He urged Germany to follow the April 2 US-UK pricing model. Written comments opened June 25, with a public hearing in September. He proposed 25% tariffs on nearly all Brazilian exports over digital trade, IP, and deforestation concerns, though public data shows the U.S. runs a surplus with Brazil. A third concurrent Section 301 probe targets Vietnam's IP enforcement after Greer designated it a priority foreign country in April. On China, he launched the public-comment process for the U.S.-China Board of Trade created at the Trump-Xi Beijing summit, seeking reciprocal tariff cuts on roughly $30 billion in non-sensitive goods per side while keeping what he called "robust tariffs" in place.


6 focus areas

On their plate

1.
India Interim Trade Deal Finalization

Greer led a U.S. delegation to New Delhi June 22 to 25 to finalize the first-phase US-India interim trade deal, meeting Goyal and Sitharaman. India requires a competitive tariff advantage over China and Vietnam before implementation. Goyal expects the first tranche by mid-July. Indian opposition pressure and a February Supreme Court ruling striking down reciprocal tariffs complicate the concession framework.

2.
USMCA July 1 Review and CUSMA Renegotiation

The mandatory USMCA review begins July 1, with the three countries deciding between a 16-year extension or annual reviews. Greer proposed 82% North American auto content and 50% U.S. vehicle content, called Canada "difficult," and signaled openness to bilateral replacements. Trump threatened to terminate the pact. Canada and Mexico formally requested the full extension; Greer indicated talks continue past the deadline.

3.
EU Turnberry Implementation and Section 301 Layering

Greer confirmed the U.S. will honor Turnberry's 15% tariff caps while layering forced-labor duties on top, telling Šefčovič "a deal is a deal." The EU Council gave final approval June 25. A second Section 301 probe into EU excess manufacturing capacity is nearing completion. Trump threatened 25% EU auto tariffs if the deal was not ratified by July 4.

4.
Section 301 Replacement Tariff Architecture

After courts struck down IEEPA and Section 122 tariffs, Greer launched Section 301 probes covering over 99% of U.S. imports: forced labor across 60 economies (12.5% on 54, 10% on Canada/Mexico/EU), excess capacity among 16 partners, and a standalone Vietnam IP probe. Section 122 duties expire July 24 unless Congress extends. Greer warned suspending duties could mean negotiations "may never resume."

5.
Brazil Tariffs and Germany Pharma Probe

Greer proposed 25% Section 301 tariffs on nearly all Brazilian exports over digital trade, IP, ethanol, and deforestation, with a statutory deadline July 15. Public data shows the U.S. runs a surplus with Brazil, undercutting the deficit justification. Separately, he launched a June 18 probe into German pharmaceutical pricing, arguing Berlin underpays for innovative drugs and shifts R&D costs to American patients. Written comments opened June 25; a public hearing is set for September.

6.
China Board of Trade Implementation

Greer launched a June 3 public-comment process to implement the US-China Board of Trade from the Trump-Xi Beijing summit, identifying non-sensitive goods for reciprocal tariff cuts of roughly $30 billion per side while keeping "robust tariffs" in place. A separate Board of Investment addresses U.S. firm access in China. China committed to $17 billion annual U.S. agricultural purchases through 2028 and restored U.S. beef and poultry access.


6 relationships

Key relationships

Donald TrumpThis week
authority

Trump is driving the overarching tariff strategy, threatening to terminate CUSMA and impose 25% EU auto tariffs by July 4. Greer executes the agenda while signaling openness to bilateral replacements and continued negotiations past deadlines.

Piyush GoyalThis week
neutral

Greer met Goyal in New Delhi June 22 to 25 to finalize the US-India interim trade deal; Goyal demanded a competitive tariff advantage over China and Vietnam before implementation.

Dominic LeBlancThis month
adversary

Greer called Canada "difficult," froze official trade negotiations, and is pushing 82% North American auto content and 50% U.S. vehicle content against LeBlanc's proposal for a 16-year CUSMA extension.

Marcelo EbrardThis month
neutral

Greer said Mexico talks are progressing faster than Canada's and is open to bilateral agreements. Ebrard formally requested a 16-year CUSMA extension and scheduled a July 1 virtual joint meeting.

Jairam RameshThis week
adversary

Ramesh, speaking for the Indian National Congress, urged Modi to reject the US-India trade deal as "a steal," citing the February Supreme Court ruling striking down reciprocal tariffs. His opposition adds political pressure as Greer and Goyal finalize the framework.

Maroš ŠefčovičThis month
neutral

Greer met Šefčovič at the Paris OECD ministerial, telling him "a deal is a deal" on Turnberry 15% caps while layering forced-labor duties on top. Šefčovič insisted the outcome stay within Turnberry parameters.

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