Democrats Target State Control in Competitive November Midterms
Democrats seek to flip a majority of U.S. governorships and state legislatures as voters express dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump's economic and foreign policies.
The Democratic Party is positioned to win a majority of U.S. governorships for the first time since 2010 in the upcoming November midterm elections. Republicans currently hold a 26-24 advantage, but the Cook Political Report identifies 13 of 36 gubernatorial races as competitive, including potential upsets in Florida and Texas. Analysts attribute this momentum to voter dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump's handling of the economy and the Iran war, as well as historic lows in consumer sentiment due to inflation and high gas prices.
Beyond governorships, Democrats are targeting unified control of state governments in up to seven states to rewrite policies on abortion, climate, and taxes. While the party aims to flip 500 legislative seats, experts suggest Republicans will likely maintain an overall numerical advantage in state legislatures. In North Carolina, candidate Roy Cooper is capitalizing on Trump's diminished approval ratings by tying his opponent to the president.
Despite these opportunities, Democrats face a severe financial disadvantage compared to Republican super PACs and a challenging Senate map. Former President Barack Obama warned Senate Democrats that current polling leads may be within the margin of error. Republicans are spending heavily to protect incumbents in previously safe states like Kansas and Nebraska, while the Republican Lieutenant Governors Association warns that Democratic control could turn states into "hellscapes reminiscent of California and Illinois."