Democrats Hold Enthusiasm Advantage Ahead of 2026 Midterms

Polling data from CNN, the Washington Post, ABC News, Ipsos, and Marist indicate a significant enthusiasm gap favoring the Democratic Party ahead of the November 2026 midterm elections. Republicans are experiencing lower voter motivation than in previous cycles, with only 52% viewing the upcoming elections as more important than previous midterms, a sharp decline from 72% in 2022.

Donald Trump is a central factor in this trend, as his absence from the ballot and falling approval ratings—which have dropped to 37% in some surveys—contribute to the GOP deficit. Economic frustration and rising gas prices have further eroded support. A CNN poll found that only 48% of Republicans intend to vote to support the president, while 76% of Democrats intend to vote in opposition to him.

Additional data from the Marist Poll shows Democrats holding a 10-point lead on the generic congressional ballot. Meanwhile, Marquette University Law School found that only 28% of Republicans are very enthusiastic about voting. Analysts suggest that Republican energy may still increase as Election Day approaches.