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POLITICS · SEP 15, 2026

Poll Shows Democrats Leading Republicans Ahead of Midterms

A New York Times/Siena poll indicates Democrats lead Republicans 51 percent to 43 percent among likely voters for the November midterm elections.

A national poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College suggests a potential blue wave for the Democratic Party in the upcoming November midterm elections. Likely voters currently favor Democrats 51 percent to 43 percent on the generic ballot, a margin similar to the 2018 midterms.

This shift is driven by a low 38 percent approval rating for President Donald Trump, with voters specifically citing the war in Iran and the cost of living as primary concerns. Democrats are seeing significant gains among Hispanic and young voters, which may increase competitiveness in states such as Texas.

While 50 percent of likely voters believe the Democratic Party has shifted too far to the left, the poll indicates that voters currently view the Republican Party as more extreme. Republicans are expected to attempt to frame their opponents as too progressive to counter these trends.


Reported across 4 outlets
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Democratic PartyRepublican PartyDonald Trump

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