U.S. Midterms Approach With Democrats Leading National Polls

The United States will hold midterm elections on November 3, 2026, with all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats, and 36 governorships on the ballot. Donald Trump and the Republican Party currently hold a trifecta of power, having controlled the presidency and both chambers of Congress since January 2025. Democrats are seeking to flip at least one chamber to create a legislative veto over the president's agenda.

Recent polling indicates a national trend favoring Democrats, who hold an 8-point advantage on the generic ballot. Forecasters predict a potential blue wave, particularly in the House. However, analysts warn that record-low favorability for both major parties could lead to low voter turnout, a trend that historically benefits Republicans. In Florida, Republicans maintain a voter registration advantage of over 12%, though early voting data suggests they are underperforming compared to other states.

Key national issues driving the election include the economy, the cost of living, and the war in Iran. In Pennsylvania, Governor Josh Shapiro is running for reelection against Republican State Treasurer Stacy Garrity. In Philadelphia, Democratic nominee Chris Rabb is running to succeed the retiring Representative Dwight Evans, while local voters will decide on ballot questions regarding arts and culture and small business contracting.