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POLITICS · OCT 17, 2026

Democrats Lead Midterm Polls as Trump Urges Early Voting

Democrats hold a significant lead in generic polling and early voting as President Donald Trump pushes Republicans to vote early to secure a congressional victory.

Recent polling and early voting data indicate a significant advantage for the Democratic Party heading into the November midterm elections. Data from RealClearPolling.com shows Democrats with an 8.1 percentage point lead on the generic ballot, while VoteHub estimates an 84% chance of Democrats winning the U.S. House and a 59% chance of winning the Senate.

Donald Trump has shifted his rhetoric to encourage Republican supporters to utilize early and mail-in voting to ensure a victory that is "too big to rig." This push comes as early voting data from TargetSmart and NBC News shows Democrats leading with 54% of early voters, compared to 30% for Republicans. This trend is particularly pronounced in Texas, where Democrats hold a 62-32% edge, and Michigan, where the lead is 55-36%.

Democratic momentum is driven by voter frustration over the high cost of living and opposition to the president. Conversely, Republicans are managing the political fallout of the U.S./Israel war with Iran, which has increased fuel prices. President Trump has defended the conflict as necessary to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons and has promised citizens $5,000 payments if Republicans retain congressional control.


Reported across 4 outlets
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Donald TrumpDemocratic PartyRepublican Party

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