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POLITICS · SEP 29, 2026

Right-Wing Candidates Lead Major Brazil Gubernatorial Races

Right-of-center candidates hold significant leads in São Paulo and Minas Gerais ahead of Brazil's October 4 gubernatorial elections.

Polls conducted six days before Brazil's October 4 elections show candidates backed by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading in only one of the three largest gubernatorial races. While Lula-backed Eduardo Paes leads the race in Rio de Janeiro with estimates between 36% and 43%, right-of-center candidates maintain strong advantages in other key states.

In São Paulo, Governor Tarcísio de Freitas holds a double-digit lead over Fernando Haddad, with some data indicating a potential first-round victory. In Minas Gerais, Senator Cleitinho Azevedo leads Patrus Ananias; Azevedo has formally announced his support for Flávio Bolsonaro.

These gubernatorial contests are considered critical for establishing home-state power bases for presidential candidates. The outcomes may influence the strategic landscape if the national presidential race proceeds to a runoff on October 25.


Reported across 3 outlets
Actors
Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaFlávio BolsonaroTarcísio de FreitasEduardo PaesCleitinho AzevedoFernando Haddad

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