U.S. Midterm Elections Determine Control of Congress

United States voters are participating in Congressional midterm elections to determine the control of 435 House of Representatives seats and 35 Senate seats. While the Republican Party currently controls both chambers, polls project a shift toward the Democratic Party, with potential gains of five to 24 seats in the House.

Donald Trump enters the election with a 32% approval rating. This decline is attributed to inflation, government corruption, and high fuel prices following an unpopular military attack on Iran. A Democratic victory would enable Congress to check executive power and influence future judicial appointments, though the executive branch retains significant control over trade tariffs and foreign policy.

The political climate extends beyond U.S. borders, affecting international trade and foreign politics. New Zealand currently faces a 12.5% tariff on most exports, excluding beef and kiwifruit, due to U.S. claims of forced labor. Additionally, the MAGA movement has influenced political messaging in New Zealand, where the New Zealand First party has adopted antagonistic immigration rhetoric.