Senator Thom Tillis Predicts GOP House Loss in Midterms
Senator Thom Tillis stated it is almost statistically impossible for Republicans to retain control of the House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
Republican Senator Thom Tillis stated on October 5, 2026, that it is "almost statistically impossible" for the Republican Party to retain control of the House of Representatives in the upcoming midterm elections. Speaking on MS NOW’s "The Beat," Tillis predicted the GOP would "take a little bit of a hit this season" but expressed confidence that the party would maintain a tight margin of control in the Senate.
Tillis, who is not seeking reelection, attributed his support for President Donald Trump to Trump's role as the head and face of the party. His assessment comes amid a difficult political climate for Republicans, driven by low approval ratings for the president, inflation, a tariff war with Canada, and an unpopular war in Iran.
Polling and prediction markets align with the senator's outlook, indicating a strong possibility of Democratic gains. Some forecasts suggest a high probability that Democrats will flip both the House and the Senate.
