Democrats Lead in Michigan and New Hampshire Senate Polls

Recent polling from the New York Times and Siena College Research Institute shows Democratic candidates leading in two key battleground states, while Republican incumbent Susan Collins holds a narrow advantage in Maine. In Michigan, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed leads Mike Rogers 49% to 44%, with strong support among voters under 45. In New Hampshire, Representative Chris Pappas leads former Senator John E. Sununu 50% to 45%, as 54% of voters seek a candidate who will provide a check on President Donald Trump.

In Maine, Senator Susan Collins leads Democratic challenger Troy Jackson 49% to 46%, a result within the margin of error. This shift follows a heavy Republican advertising campaign and contradicts previous polls showing Jackson in the lead. The race has been marked by personal attacks; Collins described a ProPublica report on a dropped FBI pay-to-play investigation as a "partisan hit job," while Jackson claimed she is "blatantly corrupt."

Across these states, Republican nominees are outperforming President Trump, whose approval rating has declined to 32% among likely voters in Maine. While 55% of Maine voters prefer Democratic control of the Senate, Collins maintains an edge in perceived effectiveness. In Pennsylvania, separate polling from Franklin & Marshall College shows Democrats Bob Brooks and Janelle Stelson leading their Republican opponents in the 7th and 10th Congressional Districts, respectively, driven by low approval for the president.