Texas Midterm Polls Show Deadlock in Senate Race
Polling five weeks before Texas midterms shows a tight U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton, while Greg Abbott leads the governor's race.
James Talarico and Ken Paxton remain locked in a statistical deadlock for the U.S. Senate seat five weeks before the Texas midterm elections. While Talarico holds a slight lead in most current polls, analysts suggest undecided voters in the state typically favor Republican candidates.
Paxton enters the final stretch facing a poor public image following an impeachment trial and a lack of universal support within his own party. Talarico is viewed as a more partisan progressive than previous Democratic candidates such as Beto O'Rourke.
In the race for governor, Greg Abbott maintains a lead of 3 to 6 points over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, bolstered by significant campaign resources. Hinojosa is characterized as one of the most liberal members of the Texas House.
Republicans are expected to retain control of the Texas House, though their majority is projected to shrink from 88-62 to the high 70s or low 80s. This reduction in the margin of victory may complicate governance for Speaker Dustin Burrows in the upcoming session.
