The Supreme Court's Own Rulings Are Deepening the Cycle That's Weakening It
In one term, the Court both expanded presidential power and blocked the administration on constitutional grounds — and each side of that ledger is feeding the same self-reinforcing cycle.
In a single term, the Supreme Court handed the president three major expansions of executive authority — the power to terminate TPS designations, the power to block asylum access at the border, and the power to fire independent agency commissioners at will — while simultaneously blocking the administration on birthright citizenship, worldwide tariffs, and election orders. The paradox is not that the Court split the difference. It is that both halves of the ledger are feeding the same loop. Justice Sotomayor named the mechanism from inside the institution this spring, in a dissent that has become more diagnostic with each passing month.
Yet each time this Court rewards noncompliance with discretionary relief, it further erodes respect for courts and for the rule of law. — Sonia Sotomayor High School
The pattern is now visible across the term's full arc. Each ruling that expanded executive power on immigration became legal cover for a more aggressive procedural shortcut — and the administration moved fast. After the Court ruled 6-3 in July that federal courts lack jurisdiction to review non-constitutional challenges to TPS termination, the administration immediately moved to cancel protected status for seven countries [1][2]. The White House framed the action not as a policy choice but as a lawful execution of what the Court had authorized.
The Trump administration continues to lawfully end the egregious abuses to our immigration system that have hurt Americans for years. — Federal government of the United States
After the Court blocked asylum access for migrants stopped at the international boundary in Mullin v. Al Otro Lado, the administration issued an interim final rule allowing USCIS to skip asylum interviews and refer applications directly to immigration judges — a procedural bypass affecting between 132,000 and 444,000 cases annually [3][4]. And after the Court overruled the 91-year-old Humphrey's Executor precedent 6-3, granting the president power to fire independent agency commissioners at will, the administration moved to remove commissioners across independent agencies — while simultaneously replacing more than 100 immigration judges with military lawyers and former DHS prosecutors, reshaping the adjudicating body itself [5][4]. The administration also activated the Alien Terrorist Removal Court, a secret tribunal dormant since 1996 that uses classified evidence in sealed proceedings, reaching for a 30-year-old procedural mechanism to bypass normal immigration court backlogs [6]. Trump celebrated the power expansion in terms that left no ambiguity about what he believed the Court had given him.
90 years of precedent has been COMPLETELY AND UNEQUIVOCALLY OVERRULED, greatly increasing Presidential Power at a time when it is most needed! — Donald Trump
But the blocking rulings — the other half of the term — set off a different chain reaction. When the Court struck down the birthright citizenship order 6-3 on Fourteenth Amendment grounds, Trump pivoted to Congress — urging lawmakers to "start TODAY" on legislation — while simultaneously directing DOJ to prioritize prosecuting "birth tourism" schemes, pursuing enforcement through administrative channels even after losing in court [7][8]. His response to the ruling itself was an attack on the institution that delivered it.
This completely inept and embarrassing court was not what the Supreme Court of the United States was set up by our wonderful founders to be. — Donald Trump
When a federal judge issued a nationwide injunction blocking ICE arrests at immigration courthouses, DHS General Counsel James Percival responded not with a legal argument but with an attack on the court's legitimacy [9].
In sum, ICE’s 2025 courthouse-arrest policies are devoid of rational explanation for (or even acknowledgement of) the agency’s choices (1) to remove its earlier restrictions on civil arrests at immigration courthouses and (2) not to extend the new policies’ limitations to immigration courthouses. — P. Casey Pitts
The delegitimization campaign has extended beyond individual rulings. Trump ordered a review of the Federal Judicial Science Manual's climate science content, calling it "Political Fraud and False Science" and directing debarment officials to review the conduct of its contractors — an attack on the institutional infrastructure that guides judges on scientific evidence, not merely on the outcomes they reach [10]. The trust data makes the loop's acceleration measurable. The Supreme Court's public approval hit a record-low 33% in July 2026, with Republican support dropping from 79% to 58% — a decline driven specifically by the Court blocking birthright citizenship, tariffs, and the firing of a Federal Reserve governor [11]. The Court loses support from its own base precisely when it checks the executive, eroding the public pressure that once made compliance with blocking rulings politically necessary. The political brake that made procedural bypasses too costly to attempt is weakening, and the Court's own split rulings are wearing it down from both directions at once. The justices themselves are reading the crisis in opposing ways. Chief Justice Roberts has framed the legitimacy problem as a perception issue.
I think they view us as purely political actors, which I don’t think is an accurate understanding of what we do. — Bartholomew Roberts
Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson offered a starker diagnosis, one that treats public confidence not as a reputational concern but as an operational necessity.
It’s incumbent upon us to do things, to act in ways that shore up public confidence. — Ketanji Brown Jackson
The distance between those two readings is the distance between a Court that believes it can correct the record and a Court that fears the record is the problem. Jack Smith, the former special counsel, has warned from outside the institution about the cumulative effect [12].
I think we are facing an attack on the rule of law that is different in kind and scope to anything I've seen in my lifetime — Jack Smith
The administration is not merely outrunning the courts. It is exploiting a paradox the Court's own mixed record has created: a Court that expands executive power to enforce immigration policy simultaneously erodes its own standing to check that power. The engine is not external pressure, and it is not a broken institution. It is the Court's own rulings — the expanders and the blockers together — feeding a cycle in which each victory for the administration becomes a springboard for the next shortcut, and each defeat becomes fuel for the campaign that makes the next blocking ruling harder to enforce. The brake that once held is the same one the Court is wearing down from both sides.
- 1. Supreme Court Ruling Allows Trump Administration to End TPS
- 2. Trump Administration Moves to Cancel TPS for Seven Countries
- 3. Supreme Court Blocks Asylum Access for Certain Border Migrants
- 4. Trump Administration Bypasses Asylum Interviews to Speed Up Deportations
- 5. Supreme Court Expands Presidential Power Over Independent Agencies
- 6. Trump Administration Activates Dormant Terrorist Removal Court
- 7. Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Birthright Citizenship Order
- 8. Trump Urges Congress to End Birthright Citizenship After Court Ruling
- 9. Federal Judge Blocks Nationwide ICE Arrests at Immigration Courts
- 10. Trump Orders Review of Federal Judicial Science Manual
- 11. Trump and Supreme Court Both Hit Record Low Approval Ratings
- 12. Jack Smith Warns of Trump Attack on Rule of Law