The Words Moved. The Machine Didn't.
The week after the midterm rout, Trump conceded in words and hardened in personnel, while abroad the defeat changed only one thing: the price every adversary now quotes back at him.
Before dawn on November 8, immigration officers moved to put eleven Iranian nationals on a deportation flight. An emergency court filing stopped it — the government had given three days' notice against Judge Ana Reyes's October 15 order requiring five — and the flight was cancelled [1]. By that evening the president was on 60 Minutes allowing that his deportation policy had been too tough, while the Department of Homeland Security, the same day, recommitted to the largest deportation operation in history [2]. Three days before that admission he had told the crackdown's architect, Stephen Miller, in private that it had gone too far — after his chief of staff, Susie Wiles, and border czar Tom Homan had warned the tactics were a political liability [3]. The week's answer was to put Miller in Wiles's job [3][2]. In between, Trump floated cooperation with Democrats on immigration and taxes, attached to no bill, inside a week the White House had already framed as a fight Democrats would try — and fail — to win [4][5]. Across the water the pattern inverts, but only so far. The diplomatic sprint is real, and it was not born of the defeat. Iran's supreme leader authorized talks before November 3 [6], and Trump put the timeline in his own words.
There seems to be a dislike for Israel. — Donald Trump
It was Putin, not the White House, who proposed using the Shenzhen summit to discuss ending the Ukraine war [7]. The loss bought no new diplomacy. What it changed is the opening bid. Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, says the talks are on hold while Washington absorbs the election results [8].
You saw the results of the US elections. Now we have to see when they can digest the results and how they intend to proceed. — Abbas Araghci
The Kremlin assures itself that Trump's executive authority remains the dominant factor, whatever the new Congress does [9]. Beijing's foreign ministry dismisses the denuclearization agenda outright [10].
it was “neither fair, reasonable nor realistic” to ask China to engage in nuclear disarmament negotiations. — Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China
Hours after Trump said renewed strikes on Iran were highly unlikely if talks progress, his own secretary of state said the negotiations were going nowhere because Iran's demands are unacceptable — even as Washington posted a $20 million bounty on Iran's nuclear program and kept three carriers in the region [11][12].
At the moment, the talks have not been particularly productive because the Iranian demands are simply unacceptable, and in some cases they are outrageous, ridiculous, and detached from reality. — Marco Rubio
The capitals have published their opening bids, and none of them came from Washington. The next quotes come due at the summit table on November 18 and 19 [10]. Whether any of the words ever become machine is the one thing the record does not yet show.
- 1. U.S. Cancels Deportation Flight of 11 Iranian Nationals
- 2. Trump Admits Deportation Policies Were Too Tough After GOP Losses
- 3. Donald Trump Criticizes Stephen Miller Over Mass Deportations
- 4. Donald Trump Signals Bipartisan Openness After Midterm Losses
- 5. White House Vows to Resist Democratic Policy Reversals
- 6. Iran Authorizes Peace Talks Amid Record Hormuz Ship Attacks
- 7. Trump Plans Meetings With Putin and Xi at APEC Summit
- 8. Trump Conditions Iran Strikes on Nuclear and Maritime Talks
- 9. US Mediates Trilateral Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks in Abu Dhabi
- 10. Trump, Xi and Putin Coordinate Historic Trilateral Summit
- 11. Marco Rubio Says Iran Talks Unproductive Amid Ongoing Conflict
- 12. Iran Issues 48-Hour Ultimatum to Trump Amid Naval Tensions