ThinkPatternGet the app
Actor
Friedrich Merz
PERSON · WORLD

Friedrich Merz

Chancellor steering Germany's rearmament moment

Announced July 9 that Germany will buy and station US Tomahawk missiles on its soil while pushing independent European defense systems. Launched a Canada-Germany strategic pact, secured $50B in NATO defense-industrial deals, and unveiled a 34-point domestic economic reform package.


Where they stand

Friedrich Merz is presiding over the most consequential week of his chancellorship on security. On July 9 he announced Germany will purchase and station US Tomahawk cruise missiles and Typhon launchers on German soil, finalized at the NATO Ankara summit, calling it closing "an important strategic gap." He paired the announcement with a blunt framing: NATO remains an alliance, but Germany cannot outsource its security. The deployment is a bridge toward independent European strike capabilities he wants built over time.

At Ankara, Merz helped secure over $50 billion in defense-industrial agreements backing a 3.5 percent-of-GDP spending target by 2035, including a deal for Germany to produce ATACMS via Lockheed Martin and Rheinmetall. He launched negotiations for a Canada-Germany Strategic Partnership Agreement with PM Mark Carney covering security, defense, technology, energy, and space, with foreign ministers tasked to finalize by year's end. In a trilateral with Carney and Norway's PM Støre, he celebrated Canada's selection of German TKMS for a 12-submarine fleet as "a strong signal for our transatlantic and European partnership."

Merz stated that diplomatic means for resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict have been exhausted, positioning European NATO members as the primary drivers of the alliance's confrontation with Russia as US priorities shift. The US is accelerating its military withdrawal from Europe, cutting 5,000 troops from Germany and halving deep-strike capabilities on a six-to-twelve-month timeline, which forced allies to present a gap-bridging strategy at Ankara. Merz is in open rift with Trump over Iran, saying "the Americans clearly have no strategy," while pursuing a dual-track approach of criticizing US policy and courting Trump with flattery.

Domestically, Merz unveiled a 34-point economic reform package on July 2 with CDU and SPD, including 10 billion euros in annual income tax relief funded by a 47 percent top rate over 280,000 euros, pension overhaul, stricter sick leave rules, and bureaucracy cuts. He opened Infineon's 5-billion-euro Smart Power Fab in Dresden the same day, framing it as securing Europe's technological sovereignty. He demands a 400-billion-euro cut to the EU's proposed 2-trillion-euro 2028-2034 budget, warning "as it stands, an agreement is impossible." With the AfD leading national polls at roughly 29 percent, Merz has firmly ruled out cooperation and vowed to block the party from power. He is also pressing forward on comprehensive pension reform with Labor Minister Bärbel Bas, targeting parliamentary action in the second half of 2026.


5 focus areas

On their plate

1.
Tomahawk Deployment and European Strike Capability

Merz announced July 9 that Germany will purchase and station US Tomahawk cruise missiles and Typhon launchers on German soil, finalized at the NATO Ankara summit. He framed it as closing an important strategic gap while working toward independent European systems, declaring NATO remains an alliance but Germany cannot outsource its security.

2.
NATO Ankara Summit Defense-Industrial Deals

At the July 7-8 NATO summit, leaders secured over $50 billion in defense-industrial agreements backing a 3.5 percent-of-GDP spending target by 2035. Germany also agreed to produce ATACMS via Lockheed Martin and Rheinmetall. Merz launched a Canada-Germany Strategic Partnership Agreement with PM Carney and celebrated Canada's selection of German TKMS for its 12-submarine fleet.

3.
Confrontation With Russia and Ukraine Integration

Merz stated diplomatic means for resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict have been exhausted, with European NATO members now the primary drivers of the alliance's confrontation with Russia. He proposed associate membership for Ukraine as an alternative to full EU accession; Zelenskyy rejected it, demanding full membership. Merz also pressed Zelenskyy to keep draft-age Ukrainian men in Ukraine rather than Germany.

4.
Domestic Economic Reform and AfD Opposition

Merz unveiled a 34-point reform package on July 2 including 10 billion euros in annual income tax relief funded by a 47 percent top rate, pension overhaul, stricter sick leave rules, and bureaucracy cuts. He demands a 400-billion-euro cut to the EU's proposed 2-trillion-euro budget. With the AfD leading polls at roughly 29 percent, he has ruled out cooperation and vowed to block the party from power.

5.
Trump Relationship and US Military Withdrawal

The US is accelerating its military withdrawal from Europe, cutting 5,000 troops from Germany and halving deep-strike capabilities. Merz is in a rift with Trump over Iran strategy, saying the Americans clearly have no strategy, while using flattery and social media to court Trump. At the G7 he backed the Trump-brokered Iran MOU and gifted Trump a German jersey, but also pushed critical-mineral diversification from China and AI access coordination.


6 relationships

Key relationships

Donald TrumpThis month
adversary

Merz is publicly critical of US Iran strategy and facing a troop drawdown, while simultaneously courting Trump with flattery at the G7 and coordinating on the Ankara summit agenda.

Emmanuel MacronThis month
ally

Merz and Macron jointly killed the €100B FCAS fighter jet project and co-proposed gradual Western Balkan EU integration; they diverged on China trade defenses, with Merz resisting Macron's push for sector-specific tariffs.

Mark CarneyThis week
ally

Merz and Carney launched Canada-Germany Strategic Partnership Agreement negotiations at the Ankara summit and celebrated Canada's selection of German TKMS for its submarine fleet in a trilateral with Norway's Støre.

adversary

Merz proposed associate membership for Ukraine without voting rights; Zelenskyy rejected it demanding full membership. Merz also pressed Zelenskyy to keep draft-age Ukrainian men in Ukraine rather than Germany.

Keir StarmerThis month
neutral

Merz hosted Starmer at the E5 Berlin meeting on June 24 as a farewell before Starmer's resignation, which has jeopardized the July 22 UK-EU summit Starmer had sought for UK defense-sector access to the EU rearmament fund.

Jonas Gahr StøreThis week
ally

Merz held a trilateral meeting with Carney and Støre at the Ankara summit to celebrate Canada's selection of German TKMS for its 12-submarine fleet.

Keep reading in the app

Where they stand, in full, free in the app.

Download on the App StoreComing soonGoogle Play